Position Paper On Diagnostic Uncertainty Estimation from Large Language Models: Next-Word Probability Is Not Pre-test Probability

Yanjun Gao, Skatje Myers, Shan Chen, Dmitriy Dligach, Timothy Miller, Danielle S Bitterman, Guanhua Chen, Anoop Mayampurath, Matthew M Churpek, Majid Afshar
January 2024
Type
Journal article
Publication
medRxiv